What the hell was that last week?
Just when I think I have some momentum NFL gamesHere comes 5-11 week sports betting against the spread. The top spot in our experts’ picks is gone. I’m also now under .500 with a 51-53-3 record.
It got messed up in a hurry.
My straight picks were better at 8-7 to push my record to 59-48 on the season, but the ATS week frustrated me.
I feel like this week is tough, which means I have to do well because I liked my picks last week and we saw what happened.
Let’s get back on track. Things couldn’t get any worse.
All odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
Thursday, 8:15 PM ET (Prime Video)
The Vikings are coming off their first loss and the defense had a tough time against the Lions. The Rams dominated the Raiders’ offense last week, but this is a much tougher challenge. Look for the Vikings to get back on track here on both sides of the ball. The Vikings are taking it as Sam Darnold is playing well.
He chooses: Vikings 27, Rams 17
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Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Ravens are playing their second straight road game and will do so on a short week. Does it matter? The way the offense is playing and the way Cleveland’s offense is struggling, it’s not going to happen. Jameis Winston will likely start for the Browns, but he won’t be able to keep up with the Ravens and Lamar Jackson.
He chooses: Ravens 31, Browns 17
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Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (Fox, Fubo try for free)
The Giants are out on the road for the second straight week. Their middle position remains fragile. This is not a good thing when facing a team with an offensive attack like the Lions. It will be difficult to continue in Tennessee. The Lions continue to put up big numbers in a big win as Jared Goff will still be hot.
He chooses: Lions 33, Titans 17
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This is actually for first place in the division. The Colts haven’t played well, and they’ve played a poor schedule, but they’re 4-3. how? Anthony Richardson has struggled to throw the ball, which is a problem. The Texans had a tough loss to the Packers on the road where the offense struggled. This will change here. The Texans are on the attack again.
He chooses: Texans 27, Colts 20
Bonus: Not so fast, Briscoe. SportsLine expert Larry Hartstein, who tied for 52nd out of 1,598 entries in the 2022 Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest, has Colts coverage as one of the legs in his best bets. Check out his other legs, which come from the Saints-Chargers and Panthers-Broncos games, On SportsLine.
Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (Fox, Fubo try for free)
The Jaguars are back home after two games in London. But this Packers team is a big step up in class from the Patriots team they beat last week. The Packers have the Lions next week, so they can look forward. But it doesn’t matter. Jordan Love will light up a Jacksonville secondary that can’t slow down anyone.
He chooses: Packers 31, Jaguars 23
Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (Fox, Fubo try for free)
It appears as if Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is back in action after missing time with concussion issues. That should start an offense that has been struggling. The Cardinals play on the road a short week after their win over the Chargers on Monday night. This is a difficult situation that is exacerbated by Tagovailoa’s return. Dolphins win by blowout.
He chooses: Dolphins 29, Cardinals 15
New York Jets (-7) at New England Patriots
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Patriots returned home after losing in London to the Jaguars. The defense had major issues in that game, which is why Aaron Rodgers and the Jets offense can get here against that unit. Look for the Jets to get big performances from Rodgers and Breece Hall as they blow out New England.
He chooses: Jets 31, Patriots 14
Sunday at 1 p.m. ET (Fox, Fubo try for free)
The Bucs are playing on a short week and will be without both injured receivers in Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. This will really challenge the offense. The defense also had a terrible showing against the Ravens on Monday night. But I think the defense will respond. The unit would limit Kirk Cousins and the Falcons’ offense and win a tough game.
He chooses: Buccaneers 24, Falcons 19
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
Both teams appear to have made things right from their slow starts. The Eagles play back-to-back road games, which will be a challenge after winning their sectional game last week. Philadelphia’s defense will be challenged by Joe Burrow and the passing game. Look for Burrow to have a big day. The Bengals would even take it to their record.
He chooses: Bengals 30, Eagles 20
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Sunday at 4:05 PM ET (Fox, Fubo try for free)
The Saints are a mess right now. Injuries have ruined the team Derek Carr will likely be out again in this movie, which is a problem. The Chargers are hurt at receiver, but that will have to do with their running game. The defense can carry them to victory here as well. They bounced back from their loss on Monday night.
He chooses: Chargers 26, Saints 10
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Sunday at 4:05 PM ET (Fox, Fubo try for free)
This is a long and difficult road trip for the Biles. Seattle can score on anyone, which will pose a challenge for Buffalo’s defense. But I think the Bills offense is going to really make things work here. Look for plenty of points as the Bills come away with the victory thanks to Josh Allen’s late pass.
He chooses: Bills 34, Seahawks 28
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
This was supposed to be the game that highlighted 2024 No. 1 overall pick Caleb Williams of the Bears versus No. 2 overall pick Jayden Daniels of the Leaders. But Daniels has a rib injury and his availability is in doubt. This means Marcus Mariota will start. Without Daniels, the pick is the Bears because they have a better defense. Williams will continue to show improvement.
He chooses: Bears 24, Leaders 20
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Panthers are playing back-to-back road games and have not played well over the past month. The Broncos played well coming off the Saints’ offense Thursday night, so they’ll get a rest. Look for Denver’s defense and running game to win this game easily for the Broncos.
He chooses: Broncos 24, Panthers 10
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)
The Chiefs are on the road for the second straight week, but the Raiders have injury issues at quarterback. Gardner Minshew, who was on the bench two weeks ago, returns to start for the injured Aidan O’Connell. Minshew will struggle against this good Chiefs defense. Kansas City’s offense will do enough to earn a hard-fought victory on the road.
He chooses: Chiefs 24, Raiders 10
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, Fubo try for free)
The Cowboys are coming off a bye, while the 49ers with all their injuries need one. This San Francisco team is a mess. The Cowboys were blown out last time out, while the 49ers lost at home to the Chiefs. This will be a game for the 49ers defense to rise up and win.
He chooses: 49ers 23, Cowboys 20
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC, Fubo try for free)
Russell Wilson makes his second start after winning his first Sunday night and faces a struggling and struggling team. He is the perfect opponent to keep him undefeated. The Giants have offensive issues that the Steelers will exploit. Wilson will go 2-0 with the Steelers on the roll.
He chooses: Steelers 27, Giants 13
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