You know that most contract soldier contracts expire within 48 hours. There will definitely want to get out of there. Bad enough for them, but of course it gets worse – the guys left there would get so weak they wouldn’t want to be there without help. I think Putin could try to keep them there – but that he will do to his ability to get more contract soldiers – and boy is he talking about a morale problem. Really – these people made their knot – they were expecting to go home.
You guys understand that – right? Putin put most of his forces in this killing box in the Izyum-Bakhmut-Severodonetsk triangle. It exposes the southern axis and they are and will continue to launch counter-crimes (which have already begun) there and throughout Ukraine to take advantage of them. It’s bloody and all in the box – but great for the UKR’s overall operational goals. The RU has confined the vast majority of its combat forces to a small area—totally open to encirclement and powerless to bolster operations in the rest of Ukraine as a whole. UKR doesn’t have to win this box here – just wait. They can only play defense and be able to hold off more than 3 times their number. (More than 5 times their numbers in urban combat.)
And if you don’t like the way I write – just ignore me. I’m too old to care – and I’d just like to get to the point anyway at this point in my life.
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