December 4, 2022

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Elon Musk: “I wonder if we have not landed on Mars in five years”

Elon Musk (REUTERS / Callaghan O’Hare / File Photo), CEO of SpaceX, a private space company that wants to reach Mars in the next decade

As happened in the 60s and 70s with the arrival of man on the moon, The current space age promises many adventures, with some humans coming to other worlds.

As his competitors complete their short-range, minute-long private space flight strategies, the entrepreneur Elon Musk imagines himself in the next five years, or worse, within the next decade, with a rocket landing with humans on the surface of Mars. His private space agency, known as SpaceX, is already ahead of its rivals and has been providing Americans with rockets that have returned to space almost a decade after they were forced to rely on Russian help to board Soyuz rockets. Thus the International Space Station will continue its operations.

Mars City Imaginata Battle Musk (Space X)
Mars City Imaginata Battle Musk (Space X)

I wonder if it will not land on Mars in five more yearsElon Musk a Interview with Time Magazine, In which he was featured on the cover and as this year’s character. “The common goal is to make life multiple planets Let humanity transform into a space fashion”, He promised Elon Musk hopes that SpaceX will help make this idea a reality. Similarly, the merchant considers Mars to be the new home of mankind if the earth becomes uninhabitable.

In which he recently participated Lex Friedman’s podcast, Elon Musk reaffirmed this idea. When do you think SpaceX will put humans on the surface of Mars? Is the question of Lex Friedman. After a seemingly endless pause, Elon Musk was determined: “Best, 5 years. Worst, 10 years”. A very optimistic view that relies on solving many minor non-questions in the fields of engineering and economics.

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“Starship is the most sophisticated and advanced rocket ever made. StarShip’s basic optimization is to reduce the cost of one ton of orbit and ultimately one ton of cost to reach the surface of Mars. ” Musk promises that there is a cost per tonne to reach the surface of Mars. So that a self-sufficient city can be created. “No one can fly to Mars for a billion dollars,” the SpaceX CEO explained, adding that there is no money in the world today to get a ticket to the Red Planet.

Entrepreneur Elon Musk is a visionary and aspiring entrepreneur
Entrepreneur Elon Musk is a visionary and aspiring entrepreneur

One evening while criticizing the Apollo missions that landed man on the moon, Musk went further and insisted that mankind would not be able to reach Mars. Leaving traces on the surface has not returned for 50 years; He also noted the need to think of humans as a “multiracial race” that could, in the future, escape some form of life-threatening catastrophe on Earth.

The next big thing is to create a self-sufficient city on Mars Bring the animals and creatures of the earth there”, Points out. In the words of the sorcerer, it was a kind of “ark of the future Noah” that would have more than two specimens in each race because it would be “a little strange if there were only two”. Thus, the entrepreneur seeks to create a large settlement on the Red Planet.

During the interview, Elon Musk was encouraged to do the analysisWhat would be a hypothetical form of government for the first settlers of Mars. “This will be a new frontier and a good opportunity to reconsider the nature of a government. Instead of representative democracy, I recommend direct democracy so that people can vote for something directly,” he said.

Musk imagines Mars colony with his rockets (SpaceX)
Musk imagines Mars colony with his rockets (SpaceX)

Are Elon Musk’s times real?

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In November 2018, he promised in an interview that the goal would be achieved by 2024, that expectation would not be clearly fulfilled and there were voices against it at the time. This does not mean that the new prediction of not taking more than 10 years is wrong, but it is It depends on the rhythm of a starship development without any hiccups..

Also, if we take into account the delays caused by NASA’s Artemis project, which is part of SpaceX, the story does not seem to be very beneficial. Note that the US space agency recently delayed plans to return to the moon “Not before 2025”.

Space critics have conflicting positions. Space policy expert Greg Audrey Told Business Insider Elon Musk will not reach Mars until minus 2029, UNSW Sydney professor Sergan Side said. SciTechDaily That a Establishing a settlement on the Red Planet is possible between 2040 and 2050.

Elon Musk’s promises are not always fulfilled. In fact, he considers it not his strong case to provide dates. But there is no doubt that many are capable of making plans to the extent of betting on failure. For example, with SpaceX, Has succeeded in rewriting the standards of space transport.

Muskin's plan to go to Mars (REUTERS / Sonali Paul)
Muskin’s plan to go to Mars (REUTERS / Sonali Paul)

Is a permanent colony possible on Mars?

“Starship is the most sophisticated and advanced rocket ever made. StarShip’s basic optimization is to reduce the cost of one ton of orbit and ultimately one ton of cost to reach the surface of Mars. ” Musk promises that there is a cost per tonne to reach the surface of Mars. So that a self-sufficient city can be created. “No one can fly to Mars for a billion dollars,” the SpaceX CEO explained, adding that there is no money in the world today to get a ticket to the Red Planet.

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One evening while criticizing the Apollo missions that landed man on the moon, Musk went further and insisted that mankind would not be able to reach Mars. Leaving traces on the surface has not returned for 50 years; It also points to the need to think of humans as a “polygamous race” in the future. It is possible to escape from certain types of disasters that endanger life on earth.

The next big thing is to create a self-sufficient city on Mars Bring the animals and creatures of the earth there“, He says. In the words of the sorcerer, this is a kind of” ark of the future Noah “that will have more than two specimens in each species because it would be” a little strange if there were only two. “Thus, the businessman seeks to create a large settlement on the red planet.

During the interview, Elon Musk was encouraged to do the analysis What would be a hypothetical form of government for the first settlers of Mars. “This will be a new frontier and a good opportunity to reconsider the nature of a government. Instead of representative democracy, I recommend direct democracy so that people can vote for something directly,” he said.

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